SPX Strangle - High Loss Threshold - 73 DTE

This post looks at selling one-lot options strangles on the S&P 500 Index (SPX), initiated at 73 days-to-expiration (DTE).  The results in this post were derived from more than 2300 individual trades entered by the backtester.  Other 73 DTE variations will be posted on my Twitter feed, @DTRTrading.

For background on the setup for the backtests, as well as the nomenclature used in the charts and tables below, please see the introductory article for this series: Option Strangle Series - Higher Loss Thresholds

In the trade metrics tables, I have highlighted some of the metrics rows to indicate values that are in the upper half of the readings.  One of the metrics to note is the average P&L per day in percentage terms (Trade Details (%) - Avg. P&L / Day).  This is a measure of the P&L per day normalized to the maximum initial portfolio margin (initial PM) required for that trade run...it tells us the effectiveness of theta with respect to our margin requirement.

Also note, that all of the blog posts for the SPX strangle series have equity curves with identical y-axis scales.

4 Delta Short Strikes

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For the 73 DTE, 4 delta SPX short strangles, the top exit approaches indicated by the metrics were: 300:50, 200:75, and ExOut NA:50


6 Delta Short Strikes

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For the 73 DTE, 6 delta SPX short strangles, the top exit approaches indicated by the metrics were: 200:75, 300:50 and, ExOut NA:50.


8 Delta Short Strikes

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For the 73 DTE, 8 delta SPX short strangles, the top exit approaches indicated by the metrics were: 200:75, 300:50, and, ExOut 200:50.

With the 73 DTE tests, the highest average P&L per day readings occurred with the 8 delta short strike variations, with an average of 0.22% per day.  The highest overall P&L per day reading occurred with the 8 delta 200:25 variation at 0.29% per day.  In the next post we will look at these same deltas and exits, but on the SPX 80 DTE short strangle.

FYI, I am showing the results for higher delta strangles (at the same DTEs), as well as 8 additional exits on my Twitter feed...I won't be posting these additional results to the blog.

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